With decades of experience at the front lines of Track II diplomacy, JHU SAIS Foreign Policy Institute Fellow Randa Slim sheds light on how committed groups and leaders can make progress toward resolving conflict even when official talks have broken down.
The Iron Curtain. The 1994 North Korea crisis. The Syrian Civil War. These are just a few of the monumental issues in which Track II diplomacy has played a critical role.
What, precisely, is this road less traveled? Watch now to learn the four co...
FPI Director Carla Freeman recently authored a chapter in The SAGE Handbook of Contemporary China, edited by Weiping Wu and Mark Frazier. Her chapter, "China's Relations with the Korean Peninsula," "looks across nearly four decades of Chinese and international academic and think tank publications on China’s relations with the Korean peninsula to identify patterns, areas of focus, key methodological approaches, and analytical perspectives." Read more.
This piece was originally published by Axios on May 25, 2018. View it here.
In the span of a month, President Trump has managed to create two nuclear crises. First, he walked away from the Iran nuclear deal, and then he scrapped the North Korea summit. Now, the world faces both the prospect of Iran restarting its nuclear program and the far-more menacing threat of a full-blown nuclear-capable North Korea.
The big picture: Gone is American credibility to manage complex global issues. In fact, rathe...
This piece was originally published by Axios on May 3, 2018. View it here.
As much as President Trump would like credit for solving the Iran nuclear problem, he will not get far trying to replicate the approach his administration has taken toward North Korea. The facts on the ground in each country are simply too different.
The bottom line: Torpedoing the nuclear deal will not intimidate Iran into talks. Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif reiterated the country's position Thursday morning: "We w...
This piece was originally published by The New York Times on May 2, 2018. View it here.
“President Trump should win the Nobel Peace Prize.” It is hard to imagine anyone other than Mr. Trump expressing that sentiment. But the quote is from his South Korean counterpart, Moon Jae-in, citing Mr. Trump’s work to engineer talks between the two Koreas and the tantalizing prospect of a long-sought peace and denuclearization on the peninsula.
If Mr. Trump feels triumphant, he’s not without justification —...
This article was originally published by The Atlantic on April 25, 2018. View it here.
"The Iran Regime-Change Crew Is Back. That probably spells doom for the nuclear deal."
Among the most strident critics of the nuclear deal with Iran are those who believe it furthers the survival of its leadership. By throwing Iran’s rulers an economic lifeline, they believe, the deal is an abject failure. America’s goal, they say, should never have been “denuclearization,” but regime change.
This piece originally appeared in 38 North on April 16, 2018. View it here.
A Third Way?
In a report published last January in 38 North, “Unpacking a US Decision to Use Force Against North Korea: Issues, Options, and Consequences,” Robert Jervis assesses the efficacy of using force against North Korea. Jervis cautions against assuming that superior US military and economic capabilities guarantee success in denuclearizing the North. He also underscores the uncertainties attendant to even the limite...
“That would be a diplomatic incident that would work in no one’s favor,” said Jenny Town, assistant director of the U.S.-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Washington, D.C.
This piece was originally published by Gulf News on January 19, 2018. View it here.
Positive reinforcement towards its private sector could alter Kim Jong-un’s conduct
The world has marvelled that South Korea and North Korea have had their first dialogue in two years, paving the way for the North’s participation in the Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang County, South Korea.
But few seem struck by the obvious lesson: a dose of incentives alongside the disincentives of sanctions championed by the US and...